Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 0.879315 1.117127 1.382480 1.697229 2.057140 2.452773 2.917449
2025-02-09 0.459816 0.727093 1.066544 1.514097 2.073894 2.737210 3.568701
2025-02-16 0.239187 0.490601 0.858796 1.397380 2.127476 3.048416 4.263360
2025-02-23 0.130394 0.358419 0.745077 1.367257 2.270027 3.466781 5.107874
2025-03-02 0.063557 0.253948 0.635838 1.313137 2.361114 3.813576 5.872804
2025-03-09 0.037379 0.212263 0.615772 1.385504 2.631428 4.410644 6.988507
2025-03-16 0.016946 0.160948 0.557712 1.380349 2.778311 4.837746 7.888157
2025-03-23 0.009622 0.143104 0.562556 1.482538 3.095519 5.518195 9.155251
2025-03-30 0.004419 0.121805 0.550768 1.549473 3.357104 6.125002 10.335503
2025-04-06 0.001364 0.098492 0.523377 1.579489 3.556028 6.643017 11.401905
2025-04-13 0.000097 0.070812 0.468038 1.540839 3.631328 6.973060 12.204613
2025-04-20 NaN 0.055001 0.440377 1.554470 3.794976 7.440449 13.213756
2025-04-27 NaN 0.043263 0.420929 1.585801 3.996881 7.982438 14.358956
2025-05-04 NaN 0.027372 0.367859 1.526566 4.026846 8.253090 15.111110
2025-05-11 NaN 0.016254 0.320671 1.469632 4.053611 8.516461 15.856507
2025-05-18 NaN 0.010764 0.297586 1.470737 4.190954 8.962604 16.885918
2025-05-25 NaN 0.005766 0.263190 1.430720 4.241261 9.263986 17.699155
2025-06-01 NaN 0.004908 0.270406 1.516680 4.553162 10.011736 19.211474
2025-06-08 NaN 0.002769 0.251271 1.516142 4.684316 10.456099 20.261664
2025-06-15 NaN 0.002625 0.265910 1.627691 5.056926 11.320310 21.977253
2025-06-22 NaN 0.002029 0.268850 1.700457 5.349466 12.052694 23.496985
2025-06-29 NaN 0.001223 0.260498 1.733220 5.557029 12.642640 24.801920
2025-07-06 NaN 0.000376 0.233134 1.692478 5.601195 12.949085 25.665040